Tuesday, March 20, 2012

NHL: End of the Season Predictions



by Eric Ahearn

Who’s in? Who’s out? Who will get the top seeds? Here’s our breakdown:

North East Division – 2 Teams IN. Of course we have to start with predictions on our home town Bruins. This should come as no surprise, but I see the Bruins fending off the charging Senators. The reason I feel confident about this pick is that I think the Bruins finally have a reason to play night in and night out. Before this late push from Ottawa, the Bruins were coasting toward a second place finish in the East. Now, the Bruins are forced to not only look over their shoulder because of Ottawa, but also keep their eyes on the Florida Panthers, who are fighting to move into the second spot. A team to watch out for in this division is the Buffalo Sabres. They are making a real push at the eighth seed in the East…but I see them coming up a little short.

Sid the Kid is all smiles back on the ice.
Atlantic Division – 4 Teams IN: The Atlantic Division is easily the strongest division in the Eastern Conference. Besides the NY Islanders, every team in this division has cemented their place in the playoffs. The tricky part right now is picking the winner. I believe the winner will come down to the Penguins and Rangers. With the Rangers currently holding a 3 pt. advantage, and the Pens having a game in hand, the Rangers may be the favorites. My pick? Penguins. Although the Rangers will hold the tie-breaker in the form of most games won excluding shoot outs, I feel the return of Sidney Crosby will launch the team into first. The Penguins are returning the best player in the world (sorry Datsyuk and Malkin) and he will remind all of us why before the end of the year. This leaves NY in fourth, Philly in fifth, and NJ in sixth.

South East Division – 2 Teams IN: With the Bruins falling and a Florida raising its game, Florida has a chance to jump up into the second slot. Although I see the Bruins rebounding and turning things around, the possibility is still there. The Capitals will also lock up the eighth seed in the east, holding off the Jets, Sabres, and Hurricanes. The reason why I am taking the Caps is because they hold the most important tie-break, wins in regulation or overtime…as explained for the Rangers. The Caps, Sabres, and Jets all have 10 games left. The date to circle is March 27 as the Sabres travel to Washington D.C. to take on the Caps. 


North West Decision – 1 Team IN: It is a little rare to see a division only take up one playoff spot out of eight. I believe Vancouver is going to be the only team to get into the postseason out of this sub-par showing from the Northwest. The Colorado Avalanche are currently in the eighth place but I see them falling (see below – Race for eighth). To be openly biased, I am really pulling for Calgary to make it this year but I think there is just too much to overcome…I have always liked Iginla and I would love to see him venture into the playoffs again.

Jaroslav Halak and Brian Elliot have carried
the Blues to the top of the West.
Central Division – 4 Teams IN: Much like the Atlantic Division in the East, the Central is easily the class of the West. The surprise team of the year is the St. Louis Blues who became the first team to clinch a spot in the tournament. They are also the odds-on favorite to win the President’s Trophy for most points during the regular season. I have them locked at the #1 seed. Other teams from this division are Nashville at #4, Detroit at #5, and Chicago at #6. Columbus is a team still reeling and will have one of the biggest off seasons in a while.

Pacific Division – 3 Teams IN: This is a tricky division as the winner will get the third seed while the others will fight for the seventh and eighth seeds. Here is a look at each team (points, games remaining, wins in regulation): San Jose – 82, 10, 29…Dallas – 83, 10, 33…LA Kings – 82, 10, 30. As of right now, Dallas has the slimmest of leads and I see them not being able to hold on. Winner? San Jose Sharks. As a consolation prize, I see LA and Dallas grabbing the seventh and eighth seeds.


Race For 8th Out West: The race out West is a wild one. Right now the 7th and 8th seeds are up for grabs with Phoenix, Colorado, San Jose, LA, Dallas, and Calgary all fighting tooth and nail. Here is a breakdown of each team:

Phoenix: 83 points – 9 games remaining – 30 wins in regulation/OT
            Key Games:     3/20 - @DAL              3/22 – vs. COL            3/24 - @SJ
                                       3/29 – vs. SJ              2 games with St. Louis                         

Colorado: 83 points – 8 games remaining – 30 wins in regulation/OT
            Key Games:     3/20 – vs. CAL            3/22 - @PHX              3/26 @SJ
                                       3/30 - @CAL              2 games with Vancouver

San Jose: 82 points – 10 games remaining – 29 wins in regulation/OT
            Key Games:     3/20 - @LAK              3/24 - vs.PHX              3/26 -  vs. COL
                                       3/29 - @PHX             3/31 - vs. DAL             4/3 - @DAL
                                       4/5 - @LAK                4/7 – vs.LAK

LA Kings: 82 points – 10 games remaining – 30 wins in regulation/OT
Key Games:     3/20 – vs. SJ                3/28 - @CAL               4/5 - vs SJ             
                           4/7   - vs  SJ

Dallas: 83 points – 10 games remaining – 33 wins in regulation/OT
Key Games:     3/20 - @COL              3/24 - @DAL              3/26 -  vs. DAL
                           3/28 – vs. LAK            3/30 - vs. COL

Calgary: 81 points – 9 games remaining – 31 wins in regulation/OT
            Key Games:     3/20 – vs. PHX            3/24 – vs. CAL                        3/26 - @CAL
                                       3/31 – @SJ                  4/3 – vs. SJ                 


Here are my predictions for the final standings:



            EAST:  
                        1. Pittsburg Penguins

                        2. Boston Bruins

                        3. Florida Panthers

                        4. New York Rangers

                        5. Philadelphia Flyers

                        6. New Jersey Devils

                        7. Ottawa Senators

                        8. Washington Capitals



            WEST: 
                         1. St. Louis Blues

                         2. Vancouver Canucks

                         3. San Jose Sharks

                         4. Nashville Predators

                         5. Detroit Red Wings

                         6. Chicago Blackhawks

                         7. LA Kings

                         8. Dallas Stars

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